![This Reliable Economic Indicator Is Still Flashing Green – Frank Hawkins Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise This Reliable Economic Indicator Is Still Flashing Green – Frank Hawkins Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise](https://kenaninstitute.unc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/4-1.png)
This Reliable Economic Indicator Is Still Flashing Green – Frank Hawkins Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise
![Martin Enlund ⚡️🦆🚁 on Twitter: "🤓$USD: Inversions of the ED$ curve/near-term forward spread historically predicts #Fed easing cycles. ED10 vs ED6 "predicts" the #Fed will cut rates by 200bp/annum in a few Martin Enlund ⚡️🦆🚁 on Twitter: "🤓$USD: Inversions of the ED$ curve/near-term forward spread historically predicts #Fed easing cycles. ED10 vs ED6 "predicts" the #Fed will cut rates by 200bp/annum in a few](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Dv_ASYlWsAUI-xm.jpg)
Martin Enlund ⚡️🦆🚁 on Twitter: "🤓$USD: Inversions of the ED$ curve/near-term forward spread historically predicts #Fed easing cycles. ED10 vs ED6 "predicts" the #Fed will cut rates by 200bp/annum in a few
![Martin Enlund ⚡️🦆🚁 on Twitter: "The near-term forward curve, highlighted by yield curve apologist as a much better recession indicator, is now heavily inverted. Yes, it sent a wrong signal in 1998, Martin Enlund ⚡️🦆🚁 on Twitter: "The near-term forward curve, highlighted by yield curve apologist as a much better recession indicator, is now heavily inverted. Yes, it sent a wrong signal in 1998,](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/D2kcPPSX0AAE22L.png)
Martin Enlund ⚡️🦆🚁 on Twitter: "The near-term forward curve, highlighted by yield curve apologist as a much better recession indicator, is now heavily inverted. Yes, it sent a wrong signal in 1998,
![Liz Young on Twitter: "The near-term forward spread (i.e. 3mo yields now vs implied 3mo yields in 18m) is 157bps inverted. That implies a recession probability within the next 12 months of Liz Young on Twitter: "The near-term forward spread (i.e. 3mo yields now vs implied 3mo yields in 18m) is 157bps inverted. That implies a recession probability within the next 12 months of](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fs9EZIHWIAANSg6.jpg:large)
Liz Young on Twitter: "The near-term forward spread (i.e. 3mo yields now vs implied 3mo yields in 18m) is 157bps inverted. That implies a recession probability within the next 12 months of
![Liz Ann Sonders on Twitter: "Serious divergence between 10s2s yield spread (orange), which is nearly inverted, and Fed's near-term forward spread (blue), which is steepening markedly https://t.co/7oR1eEvBky" / Twitter Liz Ann Sonders on Twitter: "Serious divergence between 10s2s yield spread (orange), which is nearly inverted, and Fed's near-term forward spread (blue), which is steepening markedly https://t.co/7oR1eEvBky" / Twitter](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FPKyX9KXsAYNFZD.jpg)
Liz Ann Sonders on Twitter: "Serious divergence between 10s2s yield spread (orange), which is nearly inverted, and Fed's near-term forward spread (blue), which is steepening markedly https://t.co/7oR1eEvBky" / Twitter
![Martin Enlund ⚡️🦆🚁 on Twitter: "🌎🔥$USD: Well, well, well. Six months ago Fed officials & other economists said the flattening yield curve was wrong, that we had nothing to worry about, and Martin Enlund ⚡️🦆🚁 on Twitter: "🌎🔥$USD: Well, well, well. Six months ago Fed officials & other economists said the flattening yield curve was wrong, that we had nothing to worry about, and](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Dv6u40jW0AAYtOa.jpg)
Martin Enlund ⚡️🦆🚁 on Twitter: "🌎🔥$USD: Well, well, well. Six months ago Fed officials & other economists said the flattening yield curve was wrong, that we had nothing to worry about, and
![Alarm! Massive Divergence Between US Treasury Yield Curve And Near-term Forward Spread (Biden Considers Releasing HUGE Oil Release To Control Inflation) – Confounded Interest – Anthony B. Sanders Alarm! Massive Divergence Between US Treasury Yield Curve And Near-term Forward Spread (Biden Considers Releasing HUGE Oil Release To Control Inflation) – Confounded Interest – Anthony B. Sanders](https://confoundedinterestnet.files.wordpress.com/2022/03/diverg2.png)